Have the Blue Jays Turned the Corner?

rajai-davis getty images tom szczerbowskiLet’s face it; the month of June is crucial for the Jays where if they don’t have a winning month and make a good dent into the hole they’ve dug themselves, it ain’t going to be a pretty rest of the year. They’ll most likely sell off pieces like Josh Johnson, and Darren Oliver, etc. which undeniably would be a huge failure on the team’s part.

They’re already 4-2 in June and need to go 14-7 the rest of the month to get back to .500. That’s no easy task, but really the Jays need to go on a nice little win streak here and show the rest of the league that they’re not deadwood yet. Sweeping the Texas Rangers with a win on Sunday would be a good start to do just that.

Shi Davidi of Sportsnet said pre-game Continue reading→

Who Will Be Selected First Overall in Upcoming MLB Draft

MLB 2013-draftIt may very well depend on which player has the best “mental toolbox”.

From former Basball Prospectus writer and PECOTA originator, Nate Silver, has come a book called “The Signal and the Noise” which caught my attention because not only is he a huge baseball geek, but he has put together one chapter in the book that I feel was rather illuminating. Silver astutely points out the challenge in quantifying a player’s “mental toolbox” which is so important to MLB teams trying to forecast those players who are… Continue Reading→

Video

Baseball Hot Corner – Video Podcast #1

Have a look below for a look at my first ever video podcast with the writers of Baseball Hot Corner. In it, we talk about the recent goings on in the NL West and AL East including the upcoming Jays-Giants series.

Enjoy!

Who is to blame for Blue Jays struggles?

Image courtesy of Jared Wickerham/Getty Images

Image courtesy of Jared Wickerham/Getty Images

Lately I’ve been finding fanatical claims from some Jays fans or general MLB followers rather ill-informed because they make grandiose statements like “the Blue Jays were going to be bad because the Marlins were bad with these same players.”  Or else they blame Manager John Gibbons for what has occurred on the field as if he can swing the bat or pitch the ball for his players.

Some even incredulously give fault to GM Alex Anthopoulos saying “he has not improved the team since he got there.” GAH!

My, how short are people’s memories? Continue reading→

Blue Jays Terrible Play Saunters On

Another loss, another defeat to a division rival, and the Blue Jays are doing everything they can to turn off their fan-base. The Yankees are at a point this year where they’re supposed to be vulnerable, they’re supposed to lay over and die with their slew of injuries and yet that hasn’t happened. Somehow they’re winning and doing it with players you wouldn’t expect like Lyle Overbay, Vernon Wells, and Jayson Nix, Eduardo Nunez and others.

The Blue Jays on Wednesday managed to salvage a win in Baltimore to prevent being swept and perhaps gave us fans a chance to breathe and say, “Okay, we won that one. Now if we can just go to New York, maybe win 2 or 3 to show we’re not dead wood, maybe it’ll be the start of turning things around.” But NOOOO, it hasn’t happened.

The defence continues to struggle immensely whether its on wild pitches or passed balls like last night, or today with Rajai Davis’ brutal route on Travis Hafner’s triple in CF. It’s just not adding up to anything resembling a quality major league team.

Look we all knew Davis is supposed to be a 4th outfielder to spell guys here and there and to platoon with Lind at DH. However Davis was in CF today because Sabathia was the lefty on the mound, so Gibbons had Rajai in there instead of Rasmus who owns a .188/.188/.313 line against lefties this year in 16 AB’s. The thing is though that Rasmus has superior defence over Davis any day of the week and that resulting triple today brought that 5th and winning run across.

If anything else is plaguing the Blue Jays its the fact that players like Rasmus cannot handle full-time everyday duties due to his inability to adjust and hit left-handed pitchers subsequently resulting in poorer defence in CF when he’s not in there.

Clearly there’s a hole in Colby’s swing as well that Jack Morris pointed out today – he can’t handle the down and in slider – and therefore is being exploited by every pitcher in the league until he learns to adjust and shows that he can hit it.

Even for Jose Bautista, our star and team MVP is still batting under .200 and as the below video shows from last nights game, it seems like he can’t handle certain pitches either thereby failing to adapt his ‘home run’ approach when any hit will do to drive in runs.

Some food for thought, Bautista’s SO% is much higher than last year (23% compared to 15.8%) and the Jays as a whole are scoring on average 3.7 runs per game while allowing 5.1 runs. How many ways are there to express the word UGLY?

The pitching too obviously has been – how do I say it – exceedingly lacklustre and ineffective aside from a solid Janssen and Cecil in the pen and a few quality starts from the starting staff. However Buehrle yesterday and Happ today let the Yankees get right back in the games with poor pitch location, giving free passes and lacking the “bulldogness” to give their team a chance to get back into the dugout harm free.

On the whole, the Jays currently have the 3rd most walks allowed and the 3rd worst WHIP in all of MLB! That’s just not getting it done which is especially SO frustrating after what we thought we had in the offseason.

We’re almost done April here folks, and at the current 9-16 record, the Blue Jays sure have dug themselves a hole in the A.L. East that is going to be a B*%&^ to get out of. I’m not saying it can’t be done – they’re only (good God) 8 games out of 1st – but it’s going to take a winning streak and improved overall play over the long haul to get back into contention.

Blue Jays Shoddy Defence Continues

Image via Brad White/Getty Images

Image via Brad White/Getty Images

Shoddy defence occurred again today in the Blue Jays 5-3 loss to the Yankees. Leading the way were 1) Izturis dropped a ball at second base on a potential double-play ball resulting in both runners being safe; (2) Lawrie missing a soft liner hit right at him that somehow got into LF; 3) Loup’s mistake of throwing the ball down the LF line by trying to get the lead runner at 3rd on a sacrifice bunt instead of just holding the ball since the batter was going to be safe anyway – this would have set up a none out, bases loaded situation with Delabar coming in; and 4) Bonifacio’s wayward throw to 1st even though Encarnacion managed to catch the ball by diving to his left to snare it.

Just brutal defence. Right now the Jays are ranked 9th in the A.L. in Fielding% and 14th in double plays turned – THAT’S BAD and speaks to the inability of our infielders to properly make the catches and throws that are making our starting pitchers pitch to more batters thereby raising their pitch counts thereby making the pen work more than they should.

But that’s not all. Our Blue Jays seem to be striking out at a torrid pace as if there’s a contest to be won by who can whiff the most in April. Ridiculous.

Here’s a look at the Jays’ batters and how they’ve faired thus far in 2013 (18 games played to this point)….

PA SO% BB%
J.P. Arencibia 64 35.9% 1.6%
Jose Bautista 43 20.9% 11.6%
Henry Blanco 11 18.2% 9.1%
Emilio Bonifacio# 56 30.4% 3.6%
Melky Cabrera# 73 12.3% 8.2%
Rajai Davis 36 25.0% 0.0%
Mark DeRosa 33 24.2% 9.1%
Edwin Encarnacion 71 18.3% 9.9%
Maicer Izturis# 51 5.9% 3.9%
Munenori Kawasaki* 22 4.6% 18.2%
Brett Lawrie 15 40.0% 0.0%
Adam Lind* 41 7.3% 9.8%
Colby Rasmus* 54 44.4% 9.3%
Jose Reyes# 43 9.3% 11.6%
League Average 19.9% 8.1%
Team Total 613 21.4% 7.3%
PA SO% BB%
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 4/20/2013.

You’ll notice that Arencibia, Lawrie, Bonifacio and Rasmus’ K rates are just atrocious and the team is ranked 4th right now in (A.L.) strikeouts – although the Jays have ranked in the top 4 or 5 for most strikeout’s the last three years anyway, so they are a strikeout team. But still, it’s just maddening when they can’t put a ball in play.

They’re currently ranked 11th in the league for BBs and were 9th last year and 4th in 2011, but this generally varies from year to year. Still both Arencibia and Bonifacio can try for a walk every now and then considering the amount of playing time they’re getting.

At present, Toronto’s BA and OBP rank 13th; this is unacceptable for a team that is supposed to contend this year. Blue Jay hitters must focus on making contact and hitting the ball hard. It seems at times like they’re trying to hit a 5-run bomb when a nice little hit will do because the more runners you get on base, the likelier chance you’ll start a rally and actually score some runs, which yah know, teams need in order to beat other teams.

On the plus side, Toronto is ranked 3rd in homers as well as in stolen bases. Big yip. Fans want to see some wins!

An Interview with Blue Jays Prospect Chase DeJong

chase dejong

Pitcher Chase DeJong was selected last year in the second round of the 2012 amateur draft, #81 overall and made 6 appearances for the Rookie League Gulf Coast Blue Jays. Last summer at the age of 18, he faired quite well throwing 12 IP, giving up 7 hits, 2 runs, only 1 walk, and he accumulated 15 strikeouts! He currently sits anywhere from #17-22 on many Blue Jays prospect lists, and while it’s tough to make comparables for him right now at the MLB level, he has the upside of a mid-rotation starter. He was fortunately able to answer a few short questions for me via an email interview.

Who is your current favourite player and why? Continue reading→

Blue Jays Showing Creativity

lawrie13springOn Sunday, we heard that Brett Lawrie was playing 2B for Single-A Dunedin so the Jays can see how he looks at the bag in order to determine if he can indeed play the #4 position on the big league club. This move intrigued me quite a bit. I have no doubt that he could do it and make a successful transition considering how much of an athlete he is AND he started playing there in Milwaukee’s system when he was first signed as a draftee.

If the Jays did this, continue reading→

Jose Reyes Out For the Foreseeable Future

Courtesy of Dave Kaup/Reuters

Courtesy of Dave Kaup/Reuters

Lo and behold, the greatest fear of Blue Jays fans came true last night when Jose Reyes slid awkwardly into second base trying to steal the bag. It was utterly gruesome looking at it because ankles aren’t made to bend that particular way.

We all know what Reyes can do when he’s healthy. He’s among the most dynamic shortstops to play the game today and amongst the best leadoff hitters anyone can ask for. He’s led the team… Continue reading→

Opening Day 2013

Seeing the huge Canadian flag and hearing the crowd sing along was the sweetest thing from last night!! Especially considering how the air was taken out of the Blue Jays’ sails after that 2nd inning.

Don’t worry folks, it’s only one game. 161 to go.