How Many Wins Can We Expect From the Blue Jays?

reyes_bautista_fuel

Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA (Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm) forecasting system picks the Blue Jays to finish in fourth place this season one game behind the Rays and Red Sox which leaves them out of the playoff picture. This news certainly irked some fans around here including myself. I mean, how dare they shower Toronto fans with cold water after the off-season we’ve had!

Now DJF wrote a nice explanation for this rather crabby prediction and pinpoints some areas where PECOTA is rather bearish on certain players. If you want to read more about what considerations are taken into account to help calculate PECOTA, you can look here where they also highlight the variance in the 2009 projections and actual standings.

Is 85 wins likely for the Jays? Continue Reading→

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s